2009-10 Financial Plan Mid-Year Update – Executive Summary

Financial Plan At a Glance

FINANCIAL PLAN AT-A-GLANCE: KEY MEASURES
(millions of dollars)
  2009-10  
  2008-09
Actual
First Quarterly
Update
Change Mid-Year
Update 1
2010-11
Current Services
State Operating Funds Budget          
Size of Budget (Excluding MTA) 2 N/AP $78,848 ($501) $78,347 N/AP
Annual Growth   0.9% -0.7% 0.2%  
Size of Budget (Including MTA) $78,168 $80,471 ($501) $79,970 $85,861
Annual Growth 1.5% 2.9% -0.6% 2.3% 7.4%
Other Budget Measures (Annual Growth)          
General Fund (With transfers) $54,607 $55,059 ($449) $54,610 $60,296
  2.3% 0.8% -0.8% 0.0% 10.4%
State Funds (Includes Capital) $83,146 $86,009 ($504) $85,505 $92,257
  2.2% 3.4% -0.6% 2.8% 7.9%
Capital Budget (State and Federal Funds) $6,830 $8,455 ($402) $8,053 $8,990
  11.4% 23.8% -5.9% 17.9% 11.6%
Federal Operating $36,573 $44,543 $619 $45,162 $46,039
  11.1% 21.8% 1.7% 23.5% 1.9%
All Governmental Funds $121,571 $133,469 ($284) $133,185 $140,890
  4.8% 9.8% -0.2% 9.6% 5.8%
All Govt’l Funds (Including “Off-Budget” Capital) $123,833 $135,313 ($37) $135,276 $142,833
  5.2% 9.3% -0.1% 9.2% 5.6%
Inflation (CPI) Growth 2.7% -0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 1.8%
All Funds Receipts (Annual Growth)          
Taxes (Including MTA) $60,337 $60,556 ($1,173) $59,383 $63,346
  -0.9% 0.4% -2.0% -1.6% 6.7%
Miscellaneous Receipts $20,064 $21,435 ($50) $21,385 $21,366
  2.1% 6.8% -0.2% 6.6% -0.1%
Federal Grants $38,834 $47,799 $288 $48,087 $48,887
  11.2% 23.1% 0.7% 23.8% 1.7%
Total Receipts $119,235 $129,790 ($935) $128,855 $133,599
  3.3% 8.9% -0.8% 8.1% 3.7%
Base Tax Growth/(Decline) 3 -3.0% -9.6% -1.4% -11.0% 5.5%
Combined General Fund/HCRA
Gap Forecast (Before any DRP Actions)
         
2009-10 N/A ($2,123) ($1,036) ($3,159) N/A
2010-11 N/A ($4,623) ($2,173) ($6,796) N/A
2011-12 N/A ($13,276) ($1,499) ($14,775) N/A
2012-13 N/A ($18,163) ($1,357) ($19,520) N/A
Cumulative Gaps N/A ($38,185) ($6,065) ($44,250) N/A
Total General Fund Reserves (Year-End) $1,948 $1,378 ($6) $1,372 $1,420
State Workforce (Subject to Executive Control)4 136,490 128,803 5,895 134,698 135,193
Debt          
Debt Service as % All Funds 4.3% 4.4% 0.0% 4.4% 4.8%
State-Related Debt Outstanding $51,768 $54,327 $891 $55,218 $58,360

1 Revenue and spending estimates do not include $2.3 billion in potential savings that are subject to approval by the Legislature or an outside entity.

2 Excludes the approximately $1.6 billion in special revenue fund receipts and disbursements related to the new Metropolitan Commuter Transportation Mobility Tax, a tax which is collected by the State on behalf of, and transferred in its entirety to, the MTA.

3 Reflects estimated change in tax receipts excluding the impact of Tax Law changes since fiscal year 1986-87.

4 The change in the workforce estimate from the First Quarterly Update reflects (a) changes to the composition of the original workforce reduction plan to emphasize alternatives to layoffs, including the elimination of funded vacancies, severance offerings, and the use of voluntary reductions in work schedules and (b) additional hiring related to Federal stimulus money.

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